The Hidden Side of Silly Taxes
Once again, sumptuary taxation rears its ugly head.
Sumptuary taxes are taxes designed to change behavior. That’s the theory. In practice it never works and always dumps an intolerable load of unnecessary problems into society’s lap.
Historically, two types of products excite boneheaded do-gooders to impose sumptuary taxes: tobacco and alcohol. The taxes (almost always excise taxes) are staggeringly disproportionate to the cost of the product being taxed. A package of Marlboros in New York City will cost about $11.50, retail, by the end of the year. The actual cost of producing a pack of Marlboros is less than a dollar.
Let’s stick with cigarettes a bit.
The argument is simple: “Smoking is bad for you so you should stop therefore we will tax cigarettes until smoking gets too expensive for you.” Sounds lovely, but it doesn’t work. The gap between the real cost of the product and the retail price is so great that a black market instantly arises and cigarettes are cheap again.
When taxes get prohibitive, the side effects of our own stupid experiment with alcohol Prohibition kick in. (Al Capone rides again!) In the case of cigarettes, black marketers acquire product to sell in several ways: hijacking, smuggling, holdups, counterfeiting overseas and then smuggling, burglary. The crooks’ acquisition cost is very, very low. Counterfeit Marlboros and Salems, mostly from the Far East, taste awful, are much more dangerous and cost American jobs.
These days, we have an additional side effect: Al Qaida smuggles cigarettes around the country and uses its profits to fund terrorism. This happened in, for instance, Detroit when an Al Qaida cell made millions from its state-to-state smuggling operation. Various other criminal gangs have picked up on the idea and are merrily making big bucks in super-high-tax states.
The net effect is that smoking goes on with minor dips in the number of smokers. The underground aspect of smoking acquires the panache of rebel behavior which appeals to kids.
Smoking is bad and must be stopped? A lot of things are bad. Grow up.
Oh, we need the additional revenue to pay the social costs of smoking-related disease: cancer, emphysema, heart disease, etc.? That’s probably hogwash for the simplest of reasons. Smokers tend to die young. Non-smokers who live into their eighties and nineties cost us a lot more than people who die young. This doesn’t mean smoking is good; it means that the increased medical cost argument is probably baloney.
Here in Florida, the retail price of cigarettes doubled last year from about $2.50 a pack to a little over $5.00 if you buy cartons. That makes slightly more sense than New York City’s sledge hammer approach. The problem is that the new price has no effect at all on smoking. People who smoke continue to do so. A pack a day smoker will now pay $1,825 a year for cigarettes, about $912.50 more than last year.
In order to cover the increased cost, the smoker will not spend money on other things: Starbuck’s, a weekly night at the movies, a monthly dinner out with the spouse and the kind of impulse purchases that fuel our DM industry. Not a big deal, except that now an additional $912.50 is removed from the useful part of the economy and funneled into the maw of useless government. And that’s all that happens!
There are about 3,000,000 smokers in Florida, not counting tourists. They probably average something like a pack a day. That means that the additional taxes on cigarettes will divert a minimum of $2,737,500,000 (2.7 billion dollars!) from the real economy and hand it off to the drunken sailors running Washington and Tallahassee.
Smokers must be punished for their antisocial behavior? Trust me, they are.
$7 a gallon gasoline.
Cap and trade, which the House has already passed, will have zero effect on the environment but it might reduce behavior the government doesn’t like, in this case driving. Crooks, thieves, muggers, and hijackers will still have plenty of gas … free gas. The rest of us will divert money from elsewhere in our personal budgets to pay the criminally extortionate taxes.
Right now in Florida, a gallon of gas costs about $2.75. Twelve thousand miles a year at 20 mpg needs 600 gallons which, right now, cost about $1,650. In 2011, at $7 a gallon, the same gas will cost $4,200 a year, $2,550 more – $7 a day more. Seven dollars a day times 6,000,000 drivers is $42,000,000 a day (over 15 billion dollars a year) diverted from the useful economy to the completely useless moron-managed economy.
You don’t want to know what cap and trade is going to do to your house. Just bend over.
The effect on DM?
We’re screwed. Nobody will have any money left to buy anything we have to sell. Buy gold, get a shotgun, vote the bastards out.









